Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 346.172676 392.053042 442.808714 503.305884 573.687673 653.267712 750.456174
2025-11-30 278.069371 338.386496 410.991523 505.565733 626.582008 777.698213 982.972648
2025-12-07 236.609582 301.266533 383.393046 496.729191 651.227636 857.635936 1159.652219
2025-12-14 209.029900 276.032040 364.931540 493.594104 678.529403 940.233291 1348.709858
2025-12-21 182.727299 248.440219 338.745326 474.612851 678.642303 981.630028 1481.322538
2025-12-28 172.038441 240.687298 338.347907 491.073035 730.764760 1104.686317 1757.657122
2026-01-04 163.844084 235.292952 340.222864 510.319966 788.588067 1243.551232 2083.274412
2026-01-11 152.734138 224.277033 332.246538 512.793556 819.062044 1341.022679 2353.481870
2026-01-18 140.359747 210.078971 317.793382 502.838269 826.868600 1399.770920 2561.720413
2026-01-25 129.651997 197.485192 304.576825 493.219469 833.525954 1456.481807 2775.060208
2026-02-01 124.577387 193.378937 304.573046 505.870108 881.088532 1594.992685 3180.455395
2026-02-08 117.276595 184.994221 296.643398 503.564724 900.354121 1681.217998 3490.759304
2026-02-15 109.709719 175.756676 286.772816 497.273411 912.296742 1756.772010 3798.862734
2026-02-22 104.228097 169.645626 281.808729 499.574728 941.553237 1873.064732 4230.283667
2026-03-01 97.612457 161.042765 271.662260 490.850954 947.046884 1938.570950 4550.629973
2026-03-08 92.429421 154.569821 264.802582 487.760357 963.808051 2031.611994 4964.323445
2026-03-15 85.574316 144.628823 250.796813 469.040011 944.558169 2038.380693 5145.366945
2026-03-22 83.853180 143.873653 253.858854 485.273925 1004.487731 2243.516580 5942.139613
2026-03-29 82.533393 143.742513 258.057206 504.254639 1073.217776 2482.774101 6912.066200
2026-04-05 79.352266 139.883831 254.689369 506.693893 1103.413625 2628.386570 7631.670262
2026-04-12 75.055825 133.618987 246.097364 496.876629 1102.728060 2691.544159 8096.807941
2026-04-19 71.112398 127.796952 237.988770 487.390753 1101.733641 2753.895838 8579.017314
2026-04-26 69.661961 126.751992 239.512807 499.866481 1158.020480 2988.938965 9765.596576